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Football model football_v1

Liga Portugal

FC Famalicao crest FC Famalicao vs Arouca crest Arouca

Fri 06 Nov 2026, 20:45

Double Chance

12

Confidence

71.5 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 6

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

FC Famalicao

1.63

Expected goals

total 2.81

Arouca

1.18

Metric FC Famalicao Arouca
Current form
58%
57%
Attack
68%
45%
Defence
51%
60%
Overall strength
57%
60%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
41%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.63–1.18, form 58/57, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 6 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h