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Football model football_v1

Liga Portugal

Estrela crest Estrela vs Casa Pia crest Casa Pia

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 · FT 0 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

59.4 low

Data quality

40%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Estrela

1.36

Expected goals

total 2.54

Casa Pia

1.18

Metric Estrela Casa Pia
Current form
8%
8%
Attack
42%
42%
Defence
53%
53%
Overall strength
46%
44%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.36–1.18, form 8/8, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome WON · Won — Estrela vs Casa Pia (0 - 2), selection "12" => WON.