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Football model football_v1

Brazil Serie A

Cruzeiro crest Cruzeiro vs Bahia crest Bahia

Fri 06 Nov 2026, 00:30 · FT 3 - 2

Double Chance

1X

Confidence

71.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Cruzeiro

1.44

Expected goals

total 2.38

Bahia

0.94

Metric Cruzeiro Bahia
Current form
93%
38%
Attack
48%
48%
Defence
58%
52%
Overall strength
82%
47%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
75%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.44–0.94, form 93/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Cruzeiro vs Bahia (3 - 2), selection "1X" => WON.