Model probability
73.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence
69.9 medium
Data quality
84%
sample 1
Model projection
Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.
Querétaro
1.71
Expected goals
total 3.83
Toluca
2.12
| Metric | Querétaro | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Attack |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
- Head-to-head (home share)
- 50%
- League position
- 16%
- Availability (injuries)
- 100%
Why this prediction?
Poisson model — expected goals 1.71–2.12, form 8/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.
Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%
Missing sources: h2h
Outcome
LOST
· Lost — Querétaro vs Toluca (1 - 1), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.