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Football model football_v1

Honduran Liga Nacional

CD Estrella Roja crest CD Estrella Roja vs FC Motagua crest FC Motagua

Wed 04 Nov 2026, 23:15 · FT 1 - 2

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

75.7 high

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

CD Estrella Roja

2.01

Expected goals

total 4.31

FC Motagua

2.30

Metric CD Estrella Roja FC Motagua
Current form
38%
100%
Attack
54%
50%
Defence
46%
58%
Overall strength
53%
77%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
26%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.01–2.30, form 38/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — CD Estrella Roja vs FC Motagua (1 - 2), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.