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Football model football_v1

Paraguayan Primera

Libertad crest Libertad vs Cerro Porteño crest Cerro Porteño

Wed 04 Nov 2026, 22:00 · FT 0 - 1

Double Chance

12

Confidence

69.8 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Libertad

1.31

Expected goals

total 2.58

Cerro Porteño

1.27

Metric Libertad Cerro Porteño
Current form
93%
100%
Attack
49%
62%
Defence
58%
51%
Overall strength
80%
84%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
42%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.31–1.27, form 93/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Libertad vs Cerro Porteño (0 - 1), selection "12" => WON.