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Football model football_v1

Liga de Expansion MX

Venados FC crest Venados FC vs Club Atlético Morelia crest Club Atlético Morelia

Wed 04 Nov 2026, 23:00 · FT 1 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

73.5 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Venados FC

1.86

Expected goals

total 3.48

Club Atlético Morelia

1.62

Metric Venados FC Club Atlético Morelia
Current form
93%
93%
Attack
59%
53%
Defence
47%
53%
Overall strength
81%
77%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
52%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.86–1.62, form 93/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Venados FC vs Club Atlético Morelia (1 - 2), selection "12" => WON.