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Football model football_v1

Championship

Wrexham crest Wrexham vs Middlesbrough crest Middlesbrough

Wed 04 Nov 2026, 19:45 · FT 2 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

65.6 medium

Data quality

52%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Wrexham

1.66

Expected goals

total 4.29

Middlesbrough

2.63

Metric Wrexham Middlesbrough
Current form
44%
73%
Attack
54%
82%
Defence
41%
47%
Overall strength
45%
66%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
28%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.66–2.63, form 44/73, H2H 50%, data quality 52%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 52%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome LOST · Lost — Wrexham vs Middlesbrough (2 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.