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Football model football_v1

UEFA Champions League

AEK Athens crest AEK Athens vs Real Madrid crest Real Madrid

Wed 04 Nov 2026, 17:45 · FT 2 - 3

Double Chance

12

Confidence

76.6 high

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

AEK Athens

1.78

Expected goals

total 4.39

Real Madrid

2.61

Metric AEK Athens Real Madrid
Current form
50%
82%
Attack
50%
64%
Defence
50%
60%
Overall strength
59%
74%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
15%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.78–2.61, form 50/82, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — AEK Athens vs Real Madrid (2 - 3), selection "12" => WON.