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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Atalanta crest Atalanta vs Parma crest Parma

Mon 02 Nov 2026, 19:45

Double Chance

12

Confidence

76.8 high

Data quality

84%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Atalanta

2.52

Expected goals

total 3.89

Parma

1.37

Metric Atalanta Parma
Current form
31%
20%
Attack
56%
36%
Defence
36%
40%
Overall strength
50%
31%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
59%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.52–1.37, form 31/20, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h