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Football model football_v1

Liga de Expansion MX

Leones Negros crest Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán FC crest Tepatitlán FC

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 18:00

1X2 (Straight Win)

1

Confidence

68.8 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Leones Negros

2.40

Expected goals

total 3.23

Tepatitlán FC

0.82

Metric Leones Negros Tepatitlán FC
Current form
100%
0%
Attack
54%
42%
Defence
58%
33%
Overall strength
79%
31%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
91%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.40–0.82, form 100/0, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h