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Football model football_v1

Ligue 1

Marseille crest Marseille vs Toulouse crest Toulouse

Sun 01 Nov 2026, 19:45

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

66.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Marseille

1.85

Expected goals

total 3.58

Toulouse

1.73

Metric Marseille Toulouse
Current form
54%
58%
Attack
61%
56%
Defence
50%
56%
Overall strength
55%
59%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
42%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.85–1.73, form 54/58, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h