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Football model football_v1

Championship

Cardiff City crest Cardiff City vs Birmingham City crest Birmingham City

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 · FT 1 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

55.6 low

Data quality

40%

sample 3

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Cardiff City

1.26

Expected goals

total 3.30

Birmingham City

2.04

Metric Cardiff City Birmingham City
Current form
54%
100%
Attack
71%
71%
Defence
44%
69%
Overall strength
67%
76%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.26–2.04, form 54/100, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 3 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome LOST · Lost — Cardiff City vs Birmingham City (1 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.