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Football model football_v1

Brazil Serie B

Náutico crest Náutico vs Avaí crest Avaí

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 22:30

Double Chance

1X

Confidence

55.2 low

Data quality

19%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Náutico

1.69

Expected goals

total 2.74

Avaí

1.04

Metric Náutico Avaí
Current form
50%
0%
Attack
50%
42%
Defence
50%
46%
Overall strength
51%
31%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
75%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.69–1.04, form 50/0, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics