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Football model football_v1

EFL League One

Plymouth Argyle crest Plymouth Argyle vs Reading crest Reading

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 12:30

Double Chance

12

Confidence

72.8 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Plymouth Argyle

1.76

Expected goals

total 3.29

Reading

1.53

Metric Plymouth Argyle Reading
Current form
93%
93%
Attack
61%
55%
Defence
45%
52%
Overall strength
77%
73%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
55%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.76–1.53, form 93/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h