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Football model football_v1

Liga Portugal

Moreirense crest Moreirense vs Estrela crest Estrela

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:30

Double Chance

12

Confidence

73.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Moreirense

1.90

Expected goals

total 3.23

Estrela

1.33

Metric Moreirense Estrela
Current form
44%
30%
Attack
50%
45%
Defence
45%
40%
Overall strength
53%
46%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
59%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.90–1.33, form 44/30, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h