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Football model football_v1

Eredivisie

Ajax Amsterdam crest Ajax Amsterdam vs AZ Alkmaar crest AZ Alkmaar

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 20:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

70.4 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Ajax Amsterdam

2.50

Expected goals

total 3.87

AZ Alkmaar

1.37

Metric Ajax Amsterdam AZ Alkmaar
Current form
80%
53%
Attack
70%
45%
Defence
59%
60%
Overall strength
74%
57%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
64%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.50–1.37, form 80/53, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h