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Football model football_v1

Premier League

Arsenal crest Arsenal vs Everton crest Everton

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 · FT 2 - 0

Double Chance

1X

Confidence

64.1 medium

Data quality

40%

sample 4

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Arsenal

2.27

Expected goals

total 3.25

Everton

0.97

Metric Arsenal Everton
Current form
83%
19%
Attack
59%
46%
Defence
60%
44%
Overall strength
73%
45%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.27–0.97, form 83/19, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 4 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome WON · Won — Arsenal vs Everton (2 - 0), selection "1X" => WON.