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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Fiorentina crest Fiorentina vs Atalanta crest Atalanta

Thu 29 Oct 2026, 19:45

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

75.7 high

Data quality

84%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Fiorentina

2.25

Expected goals

total 4.31

Atalanta

2.07

Metric Fiorentina Atalanta
Current form
28%
31%
Attack
49%
56%
Defence
41%
36%
Overall strength
38%
39%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
42%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.25–2.07, form 28/31, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h