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Football model football_v1

KNVB Beker

MVV Maastricht crest MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior crest Excelsior

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 19:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

56.2 low

Data quality

19%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

MVV Maastricht

2.48

Expected goals

total 3.80

Excelsior

1.32

Metric MVV Maastricht Excelsior
Current form
50%
21%
Attack
50%
51%
Defence
50%
18%
Overall strength
52%
43%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.48–1.32, form 50/21, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics