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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Monza crest Monza vs Napoli crest Napoli

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 19:45

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

78.6 high

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Monza

2.51

Expected goals

total 4.62

Napoli

2.11

Metric Monza Napoli
Current form
43%
47%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
42%
43%
Overall strength
56%
47%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
44%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.51–2.11, form 43/47, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h