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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Genoa crest Genoa vs Venezia crest Venezia

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 · FT 1 - 0

Double Chance

12

Confidence

73.0 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 6

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Genoa

1.83

Expected goals

total 3.27

Venezia

1.44

Metric Genoa Venezia
Current form
25%
18%
Attack
39%
42%
Defence
43%
36%
Overall strength
43%
31%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
56%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.83–1.44, form 25/18, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 6 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Genoa vs Venezia (1 - 0), selection "12" => WON.