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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Atalanta crest Atalanta vs Frosinone crest Frosinone

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 · FT 4 - 4

Double Chance

12

Confidence

74.4 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 6

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Atalanta

1.57

Expected goals

total 3.66

Frosinone

2.08

Metric Atalanta Frosinone
Current form
30%
68%
Attack
47%
59%
Defence
45%
51%
Overall strength
51%
65%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
28%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.57–2.08, form 30/68, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 6 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Atalanta vs Frosinone (4 - 4), selection "12" => LOST.