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Football model football_v1

NCAAM Soccer

St. John's crest St. John's vs UConn crest UConn

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 22:00 · FT 3 - 2

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

59.0 low

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

St. John's

1.11

Expected goals

total 3.14

UConn

2.03

Metric St. John's UConn
Current form
0%
100%
Attack
42%
53%
Defence
42%
58%
Overall strength
33%
76%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
6%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.11–2.03, form 0/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — St. John's vs UConn (3 - 2), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.