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Football model football_v1

Premier League

Manchester United crest Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth crest AFC Bournemouth

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 · FT 0 - 3

Double Chance

12

Confidence

73.3 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Manchester United

1.16

Expected goals

total 3.05

AFC Bournemouth

1.90

Metric Manchester United AFC Bournemouth
Current form
25%
62%
Attack
39%
59%
Defence
43%
54%
Overall strength
50%
51%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
62%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.16–1.90, form 25/62, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth (0 - 3), selection "12" => WON.