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Football model football_v1

Premier League

Liverpool crest Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion crest Brighton & Hove Albion

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 · FT 2 - 0

Double Chance

12

Confidence

78.2 high

Data quality

84%

sample 9

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Liverpool

1.49

Expected goals

total 4.35

Brighton & Hove Albion

2.86

Metric Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion
Current form
73%
86%
Attack
72%
84%
Defence
41%
67%
Overall strength
67%
78%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
45%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.49–2.86, form 73/86, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion (2 - 0), selection "12" => WON.