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Football model football_v1

EFL League Two

Barnet crest Barnet vs York City crest York City

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 · FT 3 - 1

Double Chance

12

Confidence

71.7 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Barnet

1.32

Expected goals

total 2.93

York City

1.61

Metric Barnet York City
Current form
38%
100%
Attack
47%
52%
Defence
53%
58%
Overall strength
50%
76%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
30%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.32–1.61, form 38/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Barnet vs York City (3 - 1), selection "12" => WON.