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Football model football_v1

EFL League One

Luton Town crest Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers crest Doncaster Rovers

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 · FT 3 - 1

Double Chance

12

Confidence

70.5 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Luton Town

1.36

Expected goals

total 2.71

Doncaster Rovers

1.34

Metric Luton Town Doncaster Rovers
Current form
93%
100%
Attack
55%
55%
Defence
52%
58%
Overall strength
81%
76%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
46%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.36–1.34, form 93/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers (3 - 1), selection "12" => WON.