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Football model football_v1

EFL League One

Leicester City crest Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic crest Wigan Athletic

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 · FT 3 - 0

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

55.0 low

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Leicester City

1.59

Expected goals

total 2.92

Wigan Athletic

1.33

Metric Leicester City Wigan Athletic
Current form
8%
8%
Attack
48%
48%
Defence
45%
45%
Overall strength
37%
29%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
49%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.59–1.33, form 8/8, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic (3 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.