Football model
football_v1
Port Vale
vs
Manchester City U21
EFL Trophy
Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:00 · FT 5 - 0
Model probability
74.8%
Double Chance
12
Confidence
54.8 low
Data quality
19%
sample 0
Model projection
Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.
Port Vale
1.50
Expected goals
total 2.80
Manchester City U21
1.30
| Metric | Port Vale | Manchester City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Attack |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
- Head-to-head (home share)
- 50%
- League position
- 50%
- Availability (injuries)
- 50%
Why this prediction?
Poisson model — expected goals 1.50–1.30, form 50/50, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.
Model football_v1 · sample size 0 · data quality 19%
Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics
Outcome
WON
· Won — Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 (5 - 0), selection "12" => WON.