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Football model football_v1

German Cup

Borussia Dortmund crest Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen crest Werder Bremen

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 · FT 3 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

67.8 medium

Data quality

68%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Borussia Dortmund

1.71

Expected goals

total 3.02

Werder Bremen

1.31

Metric Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen
Current form
60%
61%
Attack
46%
71%
Defence
64%
39%
Overall strength
64%
56%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.71–1.31, form 60/61, H2H 50%, data quality 68%. Missing: standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 68%

Missing sources: standings, statistics

Outcome WON · Won — Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (3 - 2), selection "12" => WON.