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Football model football_v1

Copa del Rey

Manacor vs Villarreal crest Villarreal

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 20:00 · FT 0 - 5

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

52.3 low

Data quality

19%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Manacor

1.60

Expected goals

total 3.19

Villarreal

1.59

Metric Manacor Villarreal
Current form
50%
51%
Attack
50%
61%
Defence
50%
46%
Overall strength
52%
53%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.60–1.59, form 50/51, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome WON · Won — Manacor vs Villarreal (0 - 5), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.