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Football model football_v1

Copa del Rey

Sestao vs Espanyol crest Espanyol

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 18:00 · FT 4 - 3

Double Chance

1X

Confidence

55.5 low

Data quality

19%

sample 8

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Sestao

1.78

Expected goals

total 2.81

Espanyol

1.03

Metric Sestao Espanyol
Current form
50%
19%
Attack
50%
41%
Defence
50%
42%
Overall strength
52%
42%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.78–1.03, form 50/19, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 8 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics

Outcome WON · Won — Sestao vs Espanyol (4 - 3), selection "1X" => WON.