← All predictions
Football model football_v1

Bundesliga

Mainz crest Mainz vs Werder Bremen crest Werder Bremen

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 · FT 2 - 3

Double Chance

12

Confidence

61.6 medium

Data quality

40%

sample 2

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Mainz

2.06

Expected goals

total 3.84

Werder Bremen

1.78

Metric Mainz Werder Bremen
Current form
50%
38%
Attack
55%
55%
Defence
45%
45%
Overall strength
51%
50%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.06–1.78, form 50/38, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome WON · Won — Mainz vs Werder Bremen (2 - 3), selection "12" => WON.