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Football model football_v1

Serie A

Sassuolo crest Sassuolo vs Lazio crest Lazio

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 17:30

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

69.1 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 7

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Sassuolo

1.16

Expected goals

total 3.77

Lazio

2.61

Metric Sassuolo Lazio
Current form
30%
88%
Attack
48%
65%
Defence
39%
64%
Overall strength
52%
81%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
24%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.16–2.61, form 30/88, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 7 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h