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Football model football_v1

Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli crest Al Ahli vs Al Nassr crest Al Nassr

Fri 20 Nov 2026, 17:30

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

76.2 high

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Al Ahli

2.43

Expected goals

total 4.37

Al Nassr

1.93

Metric Al Ahli Al Nassr
Current form
100%
100%
Attack
59%
55%
Defence
54%
54%
Overall strength
89%
85%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
55%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.43–1.93, form 100/100, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h