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Football model football_v1

Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sporting crest Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol crest Peñarol

Sun 15 Nov 2026, 23:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

70.9 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Defensor Sporting

1.49

Expected goals

total 2.76

Peñarol

1.27

Metric Defensor Sporting Peñarol
Current form
38%
38%
Attack
62%
42%
Defence
38%
58%
Overall strength
52%
48%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
56%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.49–1.27, form 38/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h