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Football model football_v1

SPFL Championship

Ayr United crest Ayr United vs Raith Rovers crest Raith Rovers

Sat 14 Nov 2026, 15:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

52.2 low

Data quality

19%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Ayr United

1.93

Expected goals

total 3.16

Raith Rovers

1.23

Metric Ayr United Raith Rovers
Current form
50%
0%
Attack
50%
42%
Defence
50%
47%
Overall strength
53%
32%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
71%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.93–1.23, form 50/0, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics