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Football model football_v1

J1 League

Gamba Osaka crest Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka crest Cerezo Osaka

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 06:00 · FT 2 - 3

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

67.0 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Gamba Osaka

1.94

Expected goals

total 3.62

Cerezo Osaka

1.68

Metric Gamba Osaka Cerezo Osaka
Current form
38%
38%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
47%
47%
Overall strength
51%
51%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
53%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.94–1.68, form 38/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka (2 - 3), selection "Over 2.5" => WON.