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Football model football_v1

Belgian Pro League

Union St.-Gilloise crest Union St.-Gilloise vs Racing Genk crest Racing Genk

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 17:30

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

73.4 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 4

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Union St.-Gilloise

2.72

Expected goals

total 4.11

Racing Genk

1.39

Metric Union St.-Gilloise Racing Genk
Current form
88%
93%
Attack
65%
50%
Defence
64%
54%
Overall strength
83%
73%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
58%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.72–1.39, form 88/93, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 4 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h