Model probability
75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence
71.5 medium
Data quality
84%
sample 9
Model projection
Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.
Estrela
1.08
Expected goals
total 3.95
Benfica
2.88
| Metric | Estrela | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Attack |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
- Head-to-head (home share)
- 50%
- League position
- 23%
- Availability (injuries)
- 100%
Why this prediction?
Poisson model — expected goals 1.08–2.88, form 30/86, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.
Model football_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 84%
Missing sources: h2h