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Football model football_v1

A-League Men

Adelaide United FC crest Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory crest Melbourne Victory

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 06:00 · FT 2 - 2

Double Chance

12

Confidence

71.1 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Adelaide United FC

1.41

Expected goals

total 2.85

Melbourne Victory

1.45

Metric Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory
Current form
8%
38%
Attack
48%
48%
Defence
46%
52%
Overall strength
37%
49%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
35%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.41–1.45, form 8/38, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory (2 - 2), selection "12" => LOST.