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Football model football_v1

Premier League

Chelsea crest Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur crest Tottenham Hotspur

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 · FT 0 - 2

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5

Confidence

56.8 low

Data quality

40%

sample 2

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Chelsea

2.21

Expected goals

total 3.45

Tottenham Hotspur

1.24

Metric Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur
Current form
100%
69%
Attack
71%
56%
Defence
59%
54%
Overall strength
80%
58%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
50%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 2.21–1.24, form 100/69, H2H 50%, data quality 40%. Missing: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup.

Model football_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 40%

Missing sources: h2h, standings, statistics, availability, lineup

Outcome LOST · Lost — Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur (0 - 2), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.