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Football model football_v1

SPFL Championship

Arbroath crest Arbroath vs Ayr United crest Ayr United

Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00

Double Chance

12

Confidence

54.7 low

Data quality

19%

sample 1

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Arbroath

1.32

Expected goals

total 2.69

Ayr United

1.37

Metric Arbroath Ayr United
Current form
8%
50%
Attack
42%
50%
Defence
52%
50%
Overall strength
38%
48%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
38%
Availability (injuries)
75%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.32–1.37, form 8/50, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.

Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 19%

Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics