NBA
Washington Wizards
vs
Memphis Grizzlies
Tue 17 Nov 2026, 00:00
Model probability
93.8%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Memphis Grizzlies
Confidence
74.1 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 9
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Washington Wizards
103.5
Projected score
Memphis Grizzlies by 17.7
Memphis Grizzlies
121.2
- Expected total points
- 224.8
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 43.8 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Washington Wizards | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 107.6 | 114.5 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 114.1 | 110.7 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 104–121, form 16/72, pace 224.8 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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