NBA
Washington Wizards
vs
Houston Rockets
Mon 16 Nov 2026, 00:00
Model probability
93.1%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Houston Rockets
Confidence
73.7 medium
Data quality
55%
sample 9
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Washington Wizards
102.0
Projected score
Houston Rockets by 17.0
Houston Rockets
119.1
- Expected total points
- 221.1
- League average (per team)
- 112.5
- Model edge
- 43.1 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Washington Wizards | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 107.6 | 113.7 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 114.1 | 107.9 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 102–119, form 16/78, pace 221.1 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 9 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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