NBA
Sacramento Kings
vs
Miami Heat
Mon 09 Nov 2026, 02:00
Model probability
67.4%
Basketball · Pace, offence / defence and rest drive the points-based model.
Moneyline (Winner)
Sacramento Kings
Confidence
59.6 low
Data quality
55%
sample 2
Basketball projection
Where our points-based model sees the game ending up.
Sacramento Kings
117.6
Projected score
Sacramento Kings by 5.2
Miami Heat
112.4
- Expected total points
- 230.0
- League average (per team)
- 111.6
- Model edge
- 17.4 pts over even
Team-by-team inputs
| Metric | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Offence |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
| Points scored (avg) | 111.7 | 111.3 |
| Points conceded (avg) | 113.5 | 114.4 |
| Rest days | 6 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Only counted when both sides have met before
Why this Basketball pick?
Basketball points model — projected score 118–112, form 0/0, pace 230.0 pts, data quality 55%. Missing: h2h, statistics, lineup.
Model basketball_v1 · sample size 2 · data quality 55%
Missing sources: h2h, statistics, lineup
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