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Football model football_v1

Premier League

Manchester United crest Manchester United vs Aston Villa crest Aston Villa

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 16:30 · FT 4 - 4

1X2 (Straight Win)

2

Confidence

77.2 high

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Manchester United

0.84

Expected goals

total 4.05

Aston Villa

3.21

Metric Manchester United Aston Villa
Current form
19%
86%
Attack
37%
84%
Defence
32%
60%
Overall strength
44%
73%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
34%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 0.84–3.21, form 19/86, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome LOST · Lost — Manchester United vs Aston Villa (4 - 4), selection "2" => LOST.