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Football model football_v1

Premier League

Sunderland crest Sunderland vs Chelsea crest Chelsea

Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 · FT 1 - 0

Double Chance

12

Confidence

72.2 medium

Data quality

84%

sample 10

Model projection

Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.

Sunderland

1.25

Expected goals

total 2.97

Chelsea

1.72

Metric Sunderland Chelsea
Current form
33%
47%
Attack
36%
61%
Defence
47%
42%
Overall strength
43%
53%
Head-to-head (home share)
50%
League position
23%
Availability (injuries)
100%

Why this prediction?

Poisson model — expected goals 1.25–1.72, form 33/47, H2H 50%, data quality 84%. Missing: h2h.

Model football_v1 · sample size 10 · data quality 84%

Missing sources: h2h

Outcome WON · Won — Sunderland vs Chelsea (1 - 0), selection "12" => WON.