Football model
football_v1
Unión (Santa Fe)
vs
Vélez Sarsfield
Argentine LPF
Unión (Santa Fe)
vs
Vélez Sarsfield
Fri 06 Nov 2026, 22:15 · FT 2 - 0
Model probability
59.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence
51.8 low
Data quality
19%
sample 1
Model projection
Expected goals from form, attack/defence, H2H, league position and availability.
Unión (Santa Fe)
1.08
Expected goals
total 3.07
Vélez Sarsfield
1.99
| Metric | Unión (Santa Fe) | Vélez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Current form |
|
|
| Attack |
|
|
| Defence |
|
|
| Overall strength |
|
|
- Head-to-head (home share)
- 50%
- League position
- 25%
- Availability (injuries)
- 75%
Why this prediction?
Poisson model — expected goals 1.08–1.99, form 50/100, H2H 50%, data quality 19%. Missing: form, h2h, standings, statistics.
Model football_v1 · sample size 1 · data quality 19%
Missing sources: form, h2h, standings, statistics
Outcome
LOST
· Lost — Unión (Santa Fe) vs Vélez Sarsfield (2 - 0), selection "Over 2.5" => LOST.